John J. Murphy

Industry Influencer 2023

John J. Murphy has been a significant contributor to the industry forecasting field. As a leading research analyst and managing director at Bank of America Merrill Lynch he has been a consistent key presence in the automotive financial industry for over 20 years. After earning a bachelor’s degree in quantitative economics from Tufts University in 1997 and briefly working at the National Economic Research Associates (NERA) in the banking and finance practice, Murphy joined Merrill Lynch in 1999.  

Over the past two decades, Murphy has built a reputation as a highly-respected auto analyst in equity research. At Bank of America Merrill Lynch, he advises clients on investments related to automobile manufacturers, suppliers, dealers, and associated businesses. He is known for his contributions to Car Wars, Who Makes the Car, the Dealer Manual, the Big Bang Series, and the Annual New York Auto Summit. He has presented at numerous industry conferences, including the Automotive News World Congress, the Original Equipment Suppliers Annual Conference, the World Economic Forum Automotive Industry Sessions, the National Automobile Dealers Association Symposium, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago’s Automotive Outlook Symposium. Murphy is also a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) charter holder, an esteemed designation given to those who have completed the CFA Program and completed acceptable work experience requirements.

Murphy’s constant presence allows him to keep an accurate pulse on the automotive industry. He is widely recognized for his primary authorship of Car Wars, an annual report which was first released in 1991. Each year, Bank of America Merrill Lynch releases this comprehensive report, made possible by the bank’s access to market data, to forecast trends in the automotive industry. Murphy’s report discusses everything from share and stock price predictions to the numbers and types of vehicles expected to be on the market over the coming years. The report is highly anticipated each year by players in the automotive industry and car fans alike. With exciting new electric vehicle technology and the rapidly growing number of electric vehicle manufacturers and disruptors entering the field, the Car Wars report will continue to be a valued resource for the automotive industry for years to come. 

The automotive financial industry has widely recognized Murphy for his contributions. He has received accolades from the Institutional Investor All America Research Team, the Wall Street Journal Best on the Sreet, the Financial Times/Starmine World’s Top Analysts, and Bloomberg Markets World’s Top Analysts. With his extensive knowledge and fusion of the automotive industry and financial markets, Murphy continues to create forecasts and provide guidance for both consumers and car manufacturers who count on automotive industry forecasting to anticipate market challenges and navigate future plans for manufacturing, new technologies, and financial planning. 

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Merrill Lynch released its first Car Wars report


Graduated from Tufts University with a bachelor’s degree in quantitative economics


Joined Merrill Lynch


Bank of America acquired Merrill Lynch


Named a Master Stock Picker by Wall Street Journal’s Best on the Street annual analyst ranking


Bank of America Merrill Lynch named Institutional Investor’s “Top Global Research Firm of the Year.” The company continued to receive this award annually over the next decade.


The Car Wars annual report noted that market shifts declined due to increasing vehicle quality offered by nearly every automaker – a significant change for the automotive industry which offered more predictability


Car Wars annual report predicted that 60% of new automobile models would be electric vehicles and hybrids by 2026

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